Roseville, Michigan 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Roseville MI
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Roseville MI
Issued by: National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac, MI |
Updated: 2:49 am EDT Apr 25, 2025 |
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Overnight
 Slight Chance T-storms
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Friday
 Chance Rain then Rain
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Friday Night
 Rain then Chance Rain
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Saturday
 Mostly Cloudy
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Saturday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Sunday
 Sunny
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Sunday Night
 Mostly Clear
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Monday
 Mostly Sunny
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Monday Night
 Mostly Cloudy
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Lo 53 °F |
Hi 73 °F |
Lo 48 °F |
Hi 53 °F |
Lo 42 °F |
Hi 66 °F |
Lo 46 °F |
Hi 72 °F |
Lo 61 °F |
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Overnight
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A slight chance of showers before 4am, then a slight chance of rain between 4am and 5am, then a slight chance of rain and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Friday
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Rain and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 2pm. High near 73. South southeast wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Friday Night
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Rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 11pm, then a chance of rain between 11pm and 1am. Low around 48. Light and variable wind becoming north northwest 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Saturday
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Mostly cloudy, with a high near 53. North northwest wind 13 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Northwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. |
Sunday
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Sunny, with a high near 66. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 46. |
Monday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. |
Monday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. |
Tuesday
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Rain likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. |
Tuesday Night
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Rain and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. |
Wednesday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. |
Wednesday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. |
Thursday
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A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Roseville MI.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
407
FXUS63 KDTX 250745
AFDDTX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
345 AM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Showers and scattered thunderstorms expected this afternoon and
evening. Isolated thunderstorms may be marginally severe in the
afternoon.
- High pressure this weekend brings dry conditions. Cool Saturday
before returning to near normal Sunday.
- Temperatures back into the 70s on Monday before another cold front
arrives on Tuesday, which will bring renewed chances for
thunderstorms.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Positively tilted trough now over west Ontario extending through
North Dakota will deepen as it moves across Lake Michigan late
tonight. Upstream of the approaching trough, shortwave features will
ripple over the southern Great Lakes this afternoon and evening, with
an ill-defined low pressure system becoming more organized across
the state as a result. Timing of these aforementioned features will
intersect peak destabilization, initially producing widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms with then increasing coverage by the
evening.
SE MI will reside under a marginally strong storm environment
characterized by CAPE aoa 1000 j/kg and steep lllr. Limiting factors
for more organized severe potential is the lack of shear through 3km
(1-3km bulk shear of 15 knots) and modest mid-level lapse rates.
Given the overall kinematics, shear does increase through 6km, so
single to multicell development will be the main storm mode for the
afternoon hours. The biggest risk for thunderstorm activity will be
wet microbursts capable of producing wind gusts of 50-60 mph with any
stronger storm development. An isolated severe storm cannot be ruled
out. Increased coverage leading into the evening hours will be
possible once the low and better moisture arrives over the state,
which then introduces the low end chance for highly localized
flooding potential. This is reflected within the HREF LPMM QPF output
and within very few of the higher- end EPS QPF outputs. Please see
the hydrology section for additional details. Any of this stronger
storm potential will be confined south of the Tri- Cities and
northern Thumb due to the sharp drop off of sbCAPE across the
northern reaches of the cwa. Instability wanes after sunset, but the
lingering shower and storm complex can last through Midnight as low
pressure ejects into Lake Erie and Ontario.
A cold front moves over the state Saturday morning in the wake of
the low which will drop temperatures back into the 50s for a high
while high pressure begins to fill in from the west. Mixing depths
intersect the 25-28 knots wind field aloft, supporting gust
potential around 30 mph during daylight hours. Outside of lower end
brief shower potential through the Thumb in the afternoon, most
locations stay dry with the build up of higher pressure. High
pressure centers over the state by Sunday afternoon.
Tuesday will be the next potential day of interest as medium range
models show strong thermodynamics and kinematics in place across the
Midwest through the Great Lakes along with an eventual passage of a
strong cold front, a setup conducive for strong to severe storms.
EPS mean cape values increase towards 1500 J/kg through the day and
EFI CAPE/SHEAR parameter displays a nice signal. It is too soon to
get into specifics this far out, but worth a mention at present time.
&&
.MARINE...
Easterly flow increases this morning ahead of low pressure that
tracks in from the Midwest through the day. This system will bring
scattered to numerous showers across the area today with embedded
thunderstorms. Wind direction backs to northerly late this afternoon
and evening, increasing in magnitude tonight as the low deepens and
departs into the eastern Great Lakes. Frequent gusts are forecast to
peak in the 25 to 30 kt range overnight into midday Saturday as
showers gradually move out. This will cause wave heights to build
into the 4 to 6 ft range in the southern Lake Huron nearshore
waters, prompting a Small Craft Advisory. North flow persists
through Saturday but gradually weakens as strong high pressure
builds in from the west. This high promotes lighter winds and waves
through Sunday. A warm front then lifts into the region Monday with
additional showers and storms becoming likely Tuesday.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Increasing daytime instability and surface low pressure arriving
today will support showers and scattered thunderstorm development
starting this afternoon, as PW values rise aoa 1.25 inches. Increased
coverage of shower and storm potential will be possible into the
evening hours. Although basin average rainfall is generally expected
to be a half an inch or less, slower storm motions along with the
potential for heavy downpours will bring the highly localized
rainfall totals of 1-1.50 inches or higher in a short period. Highly
localized flooding in low-lying and/or flood prone locations will be
possible.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1144 PM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025
AVIATION...
VFR conditions are anticipated tonight with wind directions easterly
behind a backdoor cold front. VFR conditions throughout much of
Friday. Absolute vorticity advection and height falls ahead of
amplifying northern stream trough will bring the potential for
thunderstorms Friday afternoon. Did include a prevailing group for
-TSRA between 21-00Z.
For DTW...Most likely timeframe for -TSRA between 21-00Z Friday.
DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...
* Low for ceiling at or below 5000 ft Friday.
* Moderate for thunder late Friday afternoon/evening.
&&
.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
Lake Huron...None.
Lake St Clair...None.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...AM
MARINE.......TF
HYDROLOGY....AM
AVIATION.....CB
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at www.weather.gov/detroit.
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